All Events / AEW Dynamite
SEPTEMBER 16

AEW DYNAMITE

September 16, 2026
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
AEW
5Matches
AEW World Championship Eliminator Match
AEW World Championship Eliminator Match
Will Ospreay
VS
David Finlay
Will Ospreay 56.9% PICK: Will Ospreay David Finlay 42.2%

This TV spotlight presents a classic clash between The Aerial Assassin's high-flying dynamism and The Rebel's grounded, hard-hitting style. While Finlay’s perfect PPV record suggests he’s a threat when the lights are brightest, his abysmal 20% form and 0% TV win rate paint a dire picture for a standard broadcast. Conversely, Will Ospreay’s flawless 100% win rate on television and dominant 60% form line make him the clear pick here; he’s simply built for these high-octane, non-PPV sprints. Expect Ospreay to overwhelm Finlay with his aerial onslaught, culminating in a decisive **Stormbreaker** for the pinfall victory around the 12-minute mark to reassert his status as Commonwealth Kingpin.

AEW World Trios Championship
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Swerve Strickland & The New Level
The Conglomeration
PREDICTED WINNER Roderick Strong LOW CONFIDENCE

MATCH ANALYSIS

This is a wide-open Chamber match, but look for the early action to be defined by pure attrition. The first two eliminations are almost guaranteed to be Rocky Romero and Kyle O'Reilly, who are here largely to take a beating and be sacrificed. The STONE PITBULL Tomohiro Ishii will be a destructive force, absorbing an immense amount of punishment and likely eliminating the high-flying Swerve Strickland with a brutal Vertical Drop Brainbuster before he himself is finally put down by a multi-person effort, possibly involving New Day and Mark Briscoe. As the field thins, the story shifts to momentum versus experience. Willow Nightingale, riding an incredible undefeated streak, will be the powerhouse of the final stretch, using her Pounce to eliminate a resilient Kofi Kingston and an exhausted Xavier Woods. However, her inexperience in this environment and the target on her back will be her downfall. The crafty Orange Cassidy, with a strong head-to-head record over many in the field, will use his unorthodox Sloth Style to outlast Mark Briscoe, only to be caught by Willow's Babe With The Powerbomb. But in the chaos, the veteran technician Roderick Strong will have been biding his time. In the final showdown, a spent Willow Nightingale will find herself locked in a brutal struggle with the Messiah of the Backbreaker. Strong’s perfect PPV record and technical mastery in this gimmick match will be the deciding factor. After weathering Willow’s power game, Strong will trap her in the Strong Hold or plant her with a Sick Kick to score the shocking, low-confidence victory. Roderick Strong emerges not as the hottest star, but as the most cunning survivor in the steel.

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Darby Allin & Steven Borden
VS
Mark Davis & Josh Alexander
Darby Allin & Steven Borden 48.3% PICK: Mark Davis & Josh Alexander Mark Davis & Josh Alexander 51.7%

This Chamber is Darby Allin's match to lose. He enters on a career-defining ten-match win streak, including a perfect PPV record, and his high-risk, high-reward style is built for the controlled chaos of this structure. I expect the veteran Josh Alexander to start strong, using his "Walking Weapon" precision to ground the faster competitors, but his recent form is a glaring weakness. The first man out will likely be Mark Davis. "Dunkzilla" has the power to cause a stir, but his inconsistent momentum and lack of big-match PPV success make him the most vulnerable once the pods empty and the numbers game begins. Alexander’s resilience will see him survive the initial onslaught, but his recent string of losses catches up to him here. After a valiant effort, perhaps trading his brutal Spinning Tombstone Piledriver for a Coffin Drop, Alexander falls to Darby, setting the stage for the final act. This leaves Allin alone, battered but soaring with momentum. He’s not just surviving matches lately; he’s dominating them. While the Chamber is a war of attrition, Darby’s unparalleled momentum and ability to thrive in car-crash environments make him the overwhelming favorite. Look for him to seal it with a Coffin Drop from the top of a pod, walking out the winner and cementing this white-hot streak.

Tables Match
Tables Match
Young Bucks
VS
Kyle Fletcher & Kevin Knight
Young Bucks 47.6% PICK: Kyle Fletcher & Kevin Knight Kyle Fletcher & Kevin Knight 52.4%

This Elimination Chamber Tables Match will be a brutal showcase of contrasting trajectories. Kevin Knight, despite his "Jet" nickname and flashes of promise, is a step below the experience level needed to survive this structure; his lack of PPV wins is a glaring red flag. He'll be the first man eliminated, likely taking a punishing bump through a table after a high-impact move from Kyle Fletcher, who already holds a decisive head-to-head victory over him. From there, the focus shifts to the Young Bucks. Both Matt and Nick Jackson are in a shocking career slump, with a combined 0-9 record in their recent outings. That cold streak continues here. Their high-risk, spot-heavy style becomes their downfall in a match where simply going through a table ends your night. Expect a spectacular but ultimately futile sequence of Superkicks and dives before one—likely Nick via a 450 splash gone wrong—and then the other are put away, leaving us with a final two of pure momentum versus momentum. And that momentum belongs entirely to Kyle Fletcher. "The Aussie Arrow" is on a heater, entering with the best recent form and clear confidence. His all-around style is perfectly suited for the Chamber’s demands, allowing him to adapt and survive the chaos. In the final showdown, he'll overcome a resilient opponent with a crushing proto-bomb through a waiting table, cementing his rise as the undeniable **ProtoStar** and walking out the definitive winner.

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Britt Baker & Persephone & Hikaru Shida
Maya World & Hyan & Thunder Rosa
PREDICTED WINNER Dr. Britt Baker DMD MEDIUM CONFIDENCE

MATCH ANALYSIS

The steel of the Elimination Chamber will tell a brutal story of momentum clashing with desperation. Look for the two entrants with the coldest records, Maya World and Hyan, to be the first to fall. Maya's high-flying style is a liability against the unforgiving grating, likely leading to an early pin after a powerful signature like Thunder Rosa's La Rosa. Hyan's severe lack of momentum makes her the next logical victim, perhaps falling to the technical precision of Hikaru Shida's Katana. The middle of the match is where the real rivalries ignite. Thunder Rosa, despite her dominant career win rate, has been ice-cold and will be eliminated in a pivotal moment, potentially by her past conqueror Shida, continuing that brief but bitter history. That sets the stage for the final three: the veteran Shida, the unpredictable Persephone, and the favorite, Dr. Britt Baker DMD. Shida's experience and positive history against this field will see her outlast Persephone, but the "Shining Samurai" has a glaring weakness: a catastrophic 0% PPV win rate that will haunt her in the final showdown. It all comes down to DMD and her Lockjaw. Baker enters with the hottest hand, boasting an 80% win rate in her last ten and a staggering 75% PPV success rate. She knows how to win the big one, and she'll prove it by weathering Shida's best shots and finally forcing the technician to tap out in the center of the demonic structure. Dr. Britt Baker DMD walks out victorious, not by luck, but because she is the most proven closer in this field when the lights are brightest.

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