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AEW DYNAMITE

October 21, 2026
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
AEW
7Matches
TNT Championship
Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Darby Allin
VS
Hechicero
Darby Allin 55.5% PICK: Darby Allin Hechicero 43.2%

Darby Allin is red-hot coming into this TV bout, riding a perfect 10-match win streak that has solidified his status as one of the most dominant forces in the company right now. While Hechicero, the "Mad Scientist of the Ring," brings veteran savvy and a size advantage, his recent form is wildly inconsistent, and he’s shown a troubling inability to win on the big stage. The stylistic contrast between Darby’s reckless, high-velocity offense and Hechicero’s methodical, powerful approach will make this a compelling chess match, but Allin’s current momentum is simply too much to overcome. I expect the AEW star to survive the Conjuro and a few near-falls before putting the luchador away with his iconic Coffin Drop around the 12-minute mark, continuing his impressive push as an unstoppable force.

Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Ricochet
VS
Ace Austin
Ricochet 67.7% PICK: Ricochet Ace Austin 30.8%

All signs point to this being a showcase victory for "The One and Only" Ricochet, who enters this TV bout as the dominant favorite against a struggling Ace Austin. Ricochet’s form is scorching hot with an 80% win rate over his last ten, while Austin is mired in a disastrous slump, winning just once in that same span. Their head-to-head history also favors the Irish Sensation, who holds a perfect 2-0 record against The Ace of Spades. Given Ricochet's stellar 75% win rate on television and Austin's complete lack of success in the same environment, I expect a dynamic, fast-paced contest where Ricochet's aerial arsenal proves too much. Look for him to put Austin away cleanly after hitting the spectacular 630 Splash to secure his 1000th career victory in decisive fashion, likely around the 12-minute mark.

Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Konosuke Takeshita
VS
Brian Cage
Konosuke Takeshita 47.5% PICK: Brian Cage Brian Cage 49.8%

This TV singles bout is a classic clash of styles, pitting The Alpha's all-around excellence against the raw power of The Machine. While Takeshita’s recent record has been inconsistent and Brian Cage is riding a hot streak, the venue itself is the great equalizer here—both men are near-perfect monsters on television, with over 95% win rates in this environment. Cage’s physicality will test Takeshita early, but I expect the Japanese star to weather the storm and use his superior technical skill to ground the powerhouse. In the end, Takeshita’s precision and slightly higher career pedigree will prove decisive; look for him to counter a discus lariat attempt and finish Cage with the devastating Power Drive Knee around the 12-minute mark.

Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Adam Copeland
VS
Josh Alexander
Adam Copeland 55.5% PICK: Adam Copeland Josh Alexander 41.0%

While Josh Alexander has proven to be the more consistent victor over his career, all momentum is currently with "The Rated R Superstar," Adam Copeland. Alexander is mired in a brutal slump, finding a win in just one of his last ten outings, which puts the resilient veteran Copeland in a prime position to capitalize. Expect a hard-hitting affair where Copeland's opportunistic instincts shine, potentially exploiting any lapse from a frustrated Walking Weapon. I see Copeland finally getting that elusive TV win, likely finishing a resilient Alexander with his devastating Spear around the 12-minute mark to cement his hot streak and hand Alexander another disheartening loss.

AEW International Championship
Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Kazuchika Okada
VS
Myron Reed
Kazuchika Okada 62.8% PICK: Kazuchika Okada Myron Reed 36.0%

This is a classic case of a generational Ace looking to make a statement against a flashy, albeit outmatched, challenger. While Myron Reed's "Hot Fire" high-flying style can create moments of danger, the data and resume gap is simply too vast here. Okada is on a dominant recent run and has already decisively beaten Reed once before; the former IWGP World Heavyweight Champion will not be caught napping on television. Expect "The Rainmaker" to methodically dismantle Reed, absorbing the Colored Splash and Sky Walker attempts before shutting him down with a crisp Dropkick leading directly into the devastating Rainmaker lariat for the pinfall victory in under 12 minutes. Okada is too polished, too powerful, and is clearly being positioned for bigger things, while Reed's 0% TV win rate is a telling stat that likely continues tonight.

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Mercedes Moné & Lena Kross & Megan Bayne
Skye Blue & Julia Hart & Thekla
PREDICTED WINNER Thekla LOW CONFIDENCE

MATCH ANALYSIS

This Chamber is primed for a collision of two dominant forces: the surging, technical "Toxic Spider" Thekla and the immovable powerhouse Kamille. I expect the early pods to see Skye Blue and Julia Hart released into chaos first, with the embattled Hart becoming the first elimination as her recent form simply doesn't translate to this unforgiving structure. Blue follows shortly after, overwhelmed by the rising power of Megan Bayne. The story truly begins when Lena Kross enters. Her perfect 2-0 record against Megan Bayne will be the catalyst for a brutal, personal showdown. Kross will use that psychological edge to target "Megasus," likely culminating in the Kross Breaker to eliminate her rival in an upset, only to be blindsided and overwhelmed by the sheer force of Kamille moments later. That sets the stage for the final confrontation: The Brickhouse versus The Toxic Spider. Kamille will dominate the closing stretch with pure power, but Thekla’s scalding hot momentum and all-rounder skillset make her the ultimate survivor. While Kamille is the slight favorite on paper, Thekla’s 90% recent form and PPV pedigree suggest she’s built for this exact moment. Look for her to evade the powerhouse’s onslaught, wear Kamille down with her Death Strap Lock, and secure a shocking, career-defining victory with a well-timed Spear to become the last woman standing.

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Death Riders & Gabe Kidd & Daniel Garcia
Mark Davis & Jake Doyle & Wardlow
PREDICTED WINNER Wardlow LOW CONFIDENCE

MATCH ANALYSIS

Mark Davis starts fast but is the clear weak link, getting overpowered and eliminated early by Jake Doyle's Sitout Powerbomb. The technical trio of Wheeler Yuta, Daniel Garcia, and Claudio Castagnoli will engage in a furious exchange, but Garcia and Yuta, struggling for momentum, will fall to the dominant veterans—likely Claudio's Neutralizer and Moxley's Bulldog Choke, respectively. Gabe Kidd's brawling won't be enough against the field's power, as Wardlow dispatches him with a thunderous F-10. The final four sees Wardlow's hot streak collide with Moxley's psychological dominance and Castagnoli's veteran craftiness. Shota Umino, though a dark horse, will use his Death Rider to eliminate the fatigued Castagnoli, but his PPV inexperience will show. The final chapter writes itself: a brutal clash between Mr. Mayhem and the DEATH RIDER. Wardlow's Powerbomb Symphony has been unstoppable, but Moxley's proven 89% record against this field is daunting. Ultimately, Wardlow's monstrous momentum and perfect PPV record give him the slight edge in this war of attrition to win his first Chamber.

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