Independent

Ronda Rousey

86.2%
Win Rate
125
Wins
18
Losses
2
Draws
145
Total Matches

Career Overview & Biography

Limited biographical data is available for Ronda Rousey in the Independent classification, but the competitive outline of her pro wrestling run is unusually clear: she has been booked and tracked like a true headliner—someone placed in high-leverage matchups, asked to carry opponents across multiple dates, and measured by whether she can repeatedly deliver wins against the same names.

Across 145 total matches, Rousey owns a career record of 125 wins, 18 losses, and 2 draws, translating to an 86.2% overall win rate. In an era where many top talents hover closer to parity due to protected 50/50 booking, that number jumps off the page. It suggests a performer consistently positioned as a final boss—someone whose presence changes the stakes of a division.

Her match history also hints at how her run has been structured: concentrated bursts of activity, clusters of repeat opponents, and decisive outcomes. The most recent logged result is a win on 2023-06-26 vs Raquel Rodriguez, and the 2022 slate shows a familiar Rousey pattern—multiple matches against the same opponent on consecutive days, then a pivot into another rivalry. That kind of scheduling is rarely accidental. It’s the footprint of a wrestler used to anchor storylines: if the promotion needs a reliable “closer,” Rousey is the one they go to.

Because the file does not include birth date, hometown, or years of experience, this profile focuses on what MoneyLine Wrestling can responsibly quantify: results, opponent-specific performance, and trendlines. The numbers paint a career that has been both dominant and strategically tested—dominant against most of the field, but with clear stress points against a small subset of elite rivals.

Wrestling Style & Signature Moves Analysis

Rousey’s statistical profile reads like that of a finish-first, control-heavy wrestler—someone whose match outcomes skew strongly toward decisive wins and repeatable success against certain archetypes of opponents. Even without an explicit “classified style” label or a move list in the provided data, the way her head-to-heads break down is revealing:

  • She is perfect against several power or hybrid opponents in multi-match samples (e.g., 13–0 vs Nia Jax, 4–0 vs Raquel Rodriguez).
  • She is also perfect against technical or veteran opposition in meaningful volume (e.g., 9–0 vs Nattie).
  • Her toughest opponents are those who can either match her in big-match structure or disrupt her rhythm—seen in the dead-even and losing series against Liv Morgan (4–4) and Charlotte Flair (3–4).

That spread typically aligns with a wrestler who thrives when she can dictate the terms—pace, positioning, and finish sequencing—but becomes more vulnerable when an opponent can force prolonged chaos, counter-wrestle her into extended exchanges, or turn the match into a momentum-based sprint.

From an analytics standpoint, her most consistent “signature” is not a single maneuver—it’s repeatability. She has multiple rivalries where she wins every time, and not in tiny samples. Going 13–0 against one opponent is a style statement: it implies her offense and match structure create problems that the opponent cannot solve, even with repeated scouting opportunities. That is the hallmark of a wrestler with a high-percentage finishing pathway—someone whose core sequences are difficult to neutralize.

Meanwhile, the 4–4 split with Liv Morgan implies the opposite: an opponent who has found counters, timing tells, or situational advantages that repeatedly flip the outcome. In other words, Rousey’s style appears extremely effective—until it isn’t, and when it isn’t, the losses can cluster around specific matchups rather than appearing randomly across the roster.

Career Statistics Breakdown

Rousey’s career ledger is the kind of record that usually belongs to protected champions and special attractions:

  • Total Matches: 145
  • Career Record: 125W – 18L – 2D
  • Overall Win Rate: 86.2%

That 86.2% is not a cosmetic stat. Over 145 matches, it represents sustained dominance rather than a short run inflated by limited appearances. Even if one removes the two draws and focuses purely on wins and losses, the win volume is overwhelming: 125 victories against just 18 defeats.

What the win rate implies about booking and performance

An 86.2% win rate typically indicates at least one of the following is true—often both:

  1. The wrestler is a top-of-card priority, consistently protected.
  2. The wrestler’s style translates reliably, allowing her to win across different opponents and storylines.

Rousey’s head-to-head data supports both. She isn’t simply beating “random opponents”; she’s compiling clean sweeps in rivalry sets that are large enough to matter.

Trend indicators: short-term win rates

MoneyLine’s “betting & advanced stats” snapshot gives three key windows:

  • Last 5 Win Rate: 80.0%
  • Last 10 Win Rate: 80.0%
  • Last 20 Win Rate: 70.0%

These figures are important because they show a slight taper as the sample expands. In the smallest windows, Rousey is winning four out of five. Over 20, she’s winning seven out of ten. That can be interpreted two ways:

  • Competitive strengthening: as she faces tougher opponents or more title-level scenarios, her win rate naturally compresses.
  • Volatility by matchup: losses are more likely to come from a narrow band of opponents (which her rivalry data strongly suggests), and those opponents appear more frequently in certain stretches.

Either way, the takeaway is that Rousey remains a high-probability winner in the short run (80% in both the last 5 and last 10), while her broader recent history (70% over the last 20) indicates she is not invincible—she is simply dominant.

The shape of her career

The most telling part of Rousey’s record is how few draws exist: 2 draws in 145 matches. That implies her matches are generally booked with clarity—wins and losses matter, and finishes happen. For analytics, that’s valuable: it reduces noise and makes opponent-specific forecasting more reliable.

Notable Rivalries & Key Matchups

Rousey’s rivalry slate is unusually polarized: she either dominates completely or runs into genuine resistance. That makes her one of the more “solvable” top stars from a scouting perspective—if an opponent fits the profile of someone she historically steamrolls, the numbers lean heavily toward Rousey. If the opponent resembles the handful who have cracked her, the match becomes far more volatile.

vs Nia Jax — 13 matches: 13W–0L–0D

This is the cleanest data point in the entire profile: 13–0. In matchmaking terms, that’s not just a winning record—it’s an ownership stake.

What it suggests analytically: - Rousey’s offense and pacing consistently neutralize what Jax brings. - Even with repeated opportunities to adjust across 13 matches, the outcomes did not change. - If a future opponent shares similar matchup traits—size, power-based offense, reliance on momentum—Rousey’s historical edge becomes a meaningful predictive input.

vs Nattie — 9 matches: 9W–0L–0D

A perfect 9–0 against Nattie reinforces the idea that Rousey’s success isn’t limited to one opponent type. Nine matches is a robust sample. Against a veteran-level rival, Rousey has still never been solved in the tracked dataset.

Interpretation: - Rousey’s game plan scales against experience and technical structure. - She likely thrives in matches where she can impose a consistent win condition rather than improvising through chaos.

vs Alexa Bliss — 6 matches: 6W–0L–0D

At 6–0, this is another sweep—smaller than 13–0 or 9–0, but still meaningful. Six matches is enough to indicate a repeatable edge.

vs Nikki Bella — 5 matches: 5W–0L–0D

A 5–0 suggests Rousey handles this matchup cleanly. Again, not a single draw, not a single loss—just decisive control.

vs Raquel Rodriguez — 4 matches: 4W–0L–0D

This rivalry is particularly relevant because it intersects with Rousey’s most recent match history. She’s 4–0 overall against Rodriguez, and her latest logged match (2023-06-26) is a win vs Raquel Rodriguez.

From a forecasting perspective, Rodriguez is currently one of the safest opponent projections for Rousey: small sample, but perfect results and very recent reinforcement.

vs Charlotte Flair — 7 matches: 3W–4L–0D

This is one of the two true pressure points in Rousey’s data. Over 7 matches, she is below .500 against Flair.

Key takeaways: - This is not a “one-off upset” scenario; it’s a sustained rivalry trend. - Flair is one of the few opponents who has repeatedly turned Rousey’s matches into coin flips—or better.

When a wrestler with an 86.2% career win rate has a losing record against a specific opponent, that opponent becomes a critical variable in any model. Flair is not just dangerous—she is historically effective.

vs Liv Morgan — 8 matches: 4W–4L–0D

The other major stress test. Over 8 matches, Rousey is exactly even: 4–4.

What makes this especially notable is that the recent match log includes multiple Morgan bouts in 2022, including both wins and a loss: - 2022-10-23: win vs Liv Morgan - 2022-10-22: win vs Liv Morgan - 2022-10-08: win vs Liv Morgan - 2022-07-30: loss vs Liv Morgan

This rivalry is volatility incarnate. If Flair represents a consistent counter, Morgan represents an opponent who can swing outcomes depending on circumstance—timing, stipulation, storyline positioning, or match layout. From a MoneyLine perspective, this is exactly the kind of matchup where broad career win rate becomes less useful than opponent-specific history.

Recent Form & Momentum

Rousey’s recent match history provides a compact but telling snapshot of momentum. The dataset lists ten matches spanning 2022-07-30 through 2023-06-26, with results as follows:

  1. 2023-06-26: win vs Raquel Rodriguez
  2. 2022-12-30: loss vs Charlotte Flair
  3. 2022-12-30: win vs Raquel Rodriguez
  4. 2022-12-29: win vs Raquel Rodriguez
  5. 2022-10-23: win vs Liv Morgan
  6. 2022-10-22: win vs Liv Morgan
  7. 2022-10-21: win vs Nattie
  8. 2022-10-08: win vs Liv Morgan
  9. 2022-09-30: win vs Nattie
  10. 2022-07-30: loss vs Liv Morgan

That’s 8 wins and 2 losses across the listed stretch—an 80% clip, which aligns with the provided Last 10 Win Rate: 80.0%.

What the sequence says

  • The losses are opponent-specific, not random. They come against Charlotte Flair and Liv Morgan—the same two rivals who represent her toughest head-to-heads (3–4 vs Flair, 4–4 vs Morgan).
  • Against everyone else in this stretch—Raquel Rodriguez (wins on 2023-06-26, 2022-12-30, 2022-12-29) and Nattie (wins on 2022-10-21 and 2022-09-30)—Rousey is flawless.

Momentum verdict: hot, but matchup-sensitive. Rousey’s form is strong in aggregate, yet the data warns that her “cooling off” moments tend to happen when she’s placed opposite the exact opponents who historically drag her win probability down.

Clustering and confidence

It’s also significant that she logged multiple wins against the same opponent on consecutive dates (e.g., Rodriguez on 12/29 and 12/30, Morgan on 10/22 and 10/23). That indicates she can maintain performance in short-turnaround scenarios—another trait of a top-tier, system-proof worker. If a promotion runs a loop of rematches, she’s statistically shown she can keep winning without needing long resets.

PPV vs Television Performance

This section is unusually stark because the provided splits are:

  • PPV Win Rate: 0.0%
  • TV Win Rate: 0.0%

Those numbers do not align with her overall record (125–18–2) in a literal sense unless the dataset’s PPV/TV tagging is incomplete or not populated for her match history. MoneyLine Wrestling cannot assume missing context; it can only report what’s present.

So what can be responsibly concluded?

  1. The PPV and TV win-rate fields are currently non-informative for Rousey’s profile as provided. A 0.0% in both categories suggests the system has not attributed any of her wins/losses to those buckets in the available dataset.
  2. Her overall performance must be evaluated using the complete match record and opponent splits, which are robust and internally consistent (145 total matches; detailed head-to-heads; recent match list).

Analytically, the correct move is to avoid overstating “big match” performance based on these PPV/TV fields. What can be said is that when the stakes rise in rivalry terms—when she faces her hardest opponents—her win probability drops. That’s evidenced not by PPV/TV labels, but by the names: Charlotte Flair and Liv Morgan are where the margin tightens.

Prediction Model Insights

MoneyLine Wrestling’s predictive lens prioritizes three pillars when clean data is available: base win rate, opponent-specific history, and recent momentum windows. Rousey grades as an elite asset in two of the three—and “matchup-dependent” in the third.

1) Base win probability: extremely high

With an 86.2% career win rate across 145 matches, Rousey enters most matchups as the presumptive favorite. In modeling terms, that’s the kind of baseline that forces opponents to prove they belong in her tier. A wrestler doesn’t accidentally win 125 times with only 18 losses unless the promotion consistently trusts them to be the outcome.

2) Momentum windows: stable, slightly tapering with sample size

Her provided trend rates show:

  • 80.0% over the last 5
  • 80.0% over the last 10
  • 70.0% over the last 20

The model reads that as: Rousey is still winning at a premium rate, but her longer recent window is more vulnerable—likely because it captures more of her hardest matchups. That interpretation is reinforced by the recent match list, where the only losses are to Flair and Morgan, the two opponents who already have the strongest historical case against her.

3) Opponent-specific adjustments: the real swing factor

Rousey’s head-to-heads are so extreme that they function like matchup multipliers.

High-confidence matchups (historical dominance): - Nia Jax: 13–0 - Nattie: 9–0 - Alexa Bliss: 6–0 - Nikki Bella: 5–0 - Raquel Rodriguez: 4–0

Against opponents in these lanes, the model’s confidence rises sharply because the sample sizes aren’t trivial. A 13–0 or 9–0 record isn’t noise—it’s a pattern.

High-variance / danger matchups: - Liv Morgan: 4–4 - Charlotte Flair: 3–4

Against Morgan, the model treats the fight as fundamentally unstable: Rousey can absolutely win (she has four times), but she has also lost four times, including a loss on 2022-07-30. Against Flair, the model must respect the historical edge: Rousey is 3–4, and the most recent Flair result listed is a loss on 2022-12-30.

What works in Rousey’s favor going forward

  • A dominant career baseline (86.2%) that few peers can match.
  • Repeatable success in rivalry rematches, especially against opponents she already “solves” (Rodriguez is the clearest current example: 4–0, with wins clustered in late 2022 and again in mid-2023).
  • Short-window consistency (80% in both last 5 and last 10), suggesting she remains a reliable favorite when not specifically placed into her hardest counters.

What the numbers flag as risk

  • Top-tier counters exist, and they’re identifiable by name. Flair and Morgan aren’t theoretical threats; they are statistically validated ones.
  • Her longer window dips to 70% over the last 20, implying that when the schedule includes more difficult matchups, her dominance compresses.

The bottom line forecast

Rousey profiles as a wrestler with an unusually high “default win expectation” who becomes far more human in a small set of elite rivalries. If a future opponent resembles the opponents she has historically swept—Jax, Nattie, Bliss, Bella, Rodriguez—the model leans heavily toward Rousey. If the opponent is Charlotte Flair or Liv Morgan, the model shifts from “Rousey by default” to “matchup-driven,” where prior head-to-head performance carries more predictive weight than her overall career win rate.

That’s what makes her analytics profile so compelling: Rousey isn’t just dominant—she’s measurable. Her career is a case study in how a top star can be both overwhelmingly successful (125–18–2) and still have clearly defined matchup vulnerabilities that smart opponents—and smart bookmakers—can’t ignore.

HEAD-TO-HEAD RECORD

OpponentMatchesWinsLossesDrawsWin%
Nia Jax 13 13 0 0 100%
Nattie 9 9 0 0 100%
Liv Morgan 8 4 4 0 50%
Charlotte Flair 7 3 4 0 43%
Alexa Bliss 6 6 0 0 100%
Nikki Bella 5 5 0 0 100%
Raquel Rodriguez 4 4 0 0 100%

RECENT MATCHES

DateResultOpponentFinishRating
2023-06-26 Win Raquel Rodriguez
2022-12-30 Loss Charlotte Flair
2022-12-30 Win Raquel Rodriguez
2022-12-29 Win Raquel Rodriguez
2022-10-23 Win Liv Morgan
2022-10-22 Win Liv Morgan
2022-10-21 Win Nattie
2022-10-08 Win Liv Morgan
2022-09-30 Win Nattie
2022-07-30 Loss Liv Morgan
PREDICT A MATCH WITH RONDA ROUSEY